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Human Development
PEER EFFECTS ON ADOLESCENT GIRLS' SEXUAL DEBUT AND PREGNANCY RISK
Peter Bearman, Ph.D. Considerable methodological challenges confront social scientists working with peer data. Drawing on nationally representative data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health (Add Health; for more information, see http://www.cpc.unc.edu/addhealth/), this study addresses these problems and shows that peers do matter in the context of adolescent health behavior. Peer effects on sexual debut and pregnancy (given sexual debut) are analyzed for five different levels of peer contexts: single best friends, immediate friendship circle, larger peer group, leading crowd of the school, and the school itself. Add Health collected data for each student of a school as well as complete network data, allowing us to identify an adolescent's network position, her friends and their characteristics. We observe friendships, friends' characteristics, romantic partners, and individual risk factors before a girl experiences sexual debut or pregnancy. This helps in separating selection from influence effects. We start from a baseline model of sexual debut (including 5070 girls) and pregnancy risk (3015 sexually active girls), controlling for socio-demographic, family, and individual characteristics as well as adolescents' risk status and involvement in romantic relationships. For the analysis of pregnancy risk only, we also control for timing of sexual debut and contraceptive use. We then identify peers' characteristics in terms of the most important individual risk factors for sexual debut and pregnancy. We find that:
Considerable methodological challenges remain which make it difficult to understand how peer influence operates. Our sense is that the direct influence conceived of as "peer pressure" is significantly less important than more diffuse dynamics associated with modeling. Pressure, if it is salient, is likely to appear in proximal relationships. But we observe peer influence operating among the more distal contexts. It is hard to see how a peer group (characterized by heterogeneity of behavior and attitudes) can pressure an individual. It is easier to see how modeling dynamics may operate to draw a girl closer to the risk-profile of the group she is a member of. Understanding mechanisms of influence is critically important if we are to harness the power of peers to externally designed intervention programs. Room for error is large in peer programs. Our findings show absolutely no effect of leading crowds on individual behavior. Yet those involved in peer programs almost routinely think that the diffusion of new ideas and practices will not be successful unless first adopted by the adolescents in the leading crowd. If the leading crowd does not shape adolescent sexual behavior (it certainly shapes other adolescent behaviors), such efforts are misplaced. Likewise, our research shows few significant school-level effects on either sexual debut or pregnancy risk. The relevant sphere of influence is smaller than schools, just beyond the rim of best friends, but well below the whole school environment. Programs oriented towards schools may be less successful than those that build from and make use of the naturally occurring affinity groups that arise within schools when adolescents select and reject friends. This article highlights some of the results of a study sponsored and published by the National Campaign to Prevent Teenage Pregnancy in Power In Numbers: Peer Effects on Adolescent Girls' Sexual Debut and Pregnancy
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